Spring Showdown

E & Under Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASTROPAOLO Jonah 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
2 BRILLANT Phill 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
3 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
3 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
5 SCHURK Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
6 BRATTAIN Trey 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
7 SCHLACK Jake 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
8 SULLIVAN Redmond 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
9 TRAUB Will 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
10 MCDERMOTT Cate 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
11 BIENSTOCK Alexis 100% 89% 60% 27% 8% 1% -
12 TESSMAN Henry 100% 86% 28% 3% - - -
13 ZHANG Daniel 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.