Event Preview
Junior OlympicsFriday, January 9, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3182 | 3248 - 3112 |
| 5 - 8 | 3011 | 3076 - 2942 |
| 9 - 16 | 2820 | 2915 - 2754 |
| 17 - 32 | 2649 | 2751 - 2553 |
| 33 - 64 | 2416 | 2536 - 2319 |
| 65 - 128 | 2163 | 2466 - 1983 |
| 129 - 229 | 1645 | 2921 - 703 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.