America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | NORMILE Jon M. | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V V D V V V | V V V V | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 3 | TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 5 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 6 | GATES Darcy C. | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 7 | GAINES Aaron | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 8 | BARREIRO Darren | D V V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 9 | TEITENBERG John F. | V V V V D V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 10 | CRANOR Erich L. | V D V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 11 | GILLHAM Timothy A. | D V V V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 12 | DEPOMMIER Remi | V D V V D V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 13 | MEHALL Michael | D V V V V D | V V D | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| 14 | BOLDUC PATRICE | V V V V D D | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 15 | JELEV Mario I. | V D V V D V | V V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 16 | LEE Ambrose W. | V V D V D | V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 17 | STEWART Robert | V V D V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 18 | WHEELER Daniel | V V V D V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 19 | SANCHEZ Leon D. | V V D V D V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 20 | HITCHCOCK David | D D V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 21 | GREENBAUM Isaac | V V D V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 22 | LANG Markus | D D V V V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 23 | LOEFFLER Carl E. | D V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 24 | GAUVEY Ken C. | V D D D V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 25 | MARINI Davide | D V D D V V | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 26 | GERSEN Jacob | D V V D D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 27 | MAR Kevin | D D V D V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 28 | KORSCHUN Daniel | D D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 29 | GERACI Paul A. | D D D V V | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 30 | YAO Shun | V D D V D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 31 | SNIDER Jeffrey H. | D D D D V V | V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 32 | KERTESZ Stefan G. | D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 33 | LE DEVEHAT Yannick | V D V V V D | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 34 | PARKS Robert | D V D V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 35 | CAFASSO martin | V D V D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 36 | KENT Dwain | V D V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 37 | CAMPBELL Alex | V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 38 | JEFFCOAT Timothy | D V D V D D | D | 0.4 | 2 | +1.6 |
| 39 | BRUS Brian V. | V V D D D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 40 | ELTERMAN Lev | D D V D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 41 | BERNSTEIN Stuart E. | D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 42 | KURITZ Marc M. | D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 43 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | V D D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 44 | DAVIS Andrew | V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 45 | BEDAIR Brandon | D D V D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 46 | EMDEN Brian | D D D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 47 | CHAO Warren | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 48 | KRYLTSOV Greg | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 49 | WILLIAMS Richard | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 50 | RIFKIND Neil | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 51 | ROGERS John D. | D D D D D D | D | 0.0 | 0 | - |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.