The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Windy City ROC /RJCC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 DEGROOT Blake - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
3 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
5 WILKINS Mateo 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
6 ORONOWICZ Jakub - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6%
7 TSAO Lukas - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
8 PALMA Matthew Dominic - 4% 23% 44% 26% 4%
9 LIU Ethan 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
10 PAI Lakshan K. - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
11 WONG Antonio - 2% 18% 46% 31% 2%
12 SANTOS Carlos R. 4% 29% 42% 21% 4% -
13 CHOE Jayden K. 2% 23% 41% 26% 7% 1%
14 RYAN Connor Q. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
15 POLONSKI Anthony 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
16 LIU Jacob B. 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
17 SORRENTINO Salvatore 18% 51% 26% 5% - -
18 GOGOI Vir K. - 2% 16% 45% 34% 3%
19 BOYKO Miles 1% 21% 47% 26% 4% -
20 ZHAO Bowen 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
21 DOUGLAS Rhys - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
22 HE Xiangrui - 1% 11% 36% 41% 11%
23 STRINGER David 1% 14% 42% 33% 9% 1%
24 REAUME Nate 54% 38% 8% 1% - -
25 GNEUHS Sam 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
26 HERRERA Xavier 83% 16% 1% - - -
27 SMITH Cooper 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
28 CHOI Simon 5% 47% 39% 9% 1% -
29 ISSA Naoum P. 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
30 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 70% 26% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.