Windy City ROC /RJCC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 DEGROOT Blake 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
3 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
5 WILKINS Mateo 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
6 ORONOWICZ Jakub 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
7 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
8 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 4%
9 LIU Ethan 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
10 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
11 WONG Antonio 100% 100% 98% 80% 34% 2%
12 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 96% 67% 25% 5% -
13 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 98% 75% 34% 7% 1%
14 RYAN Connor Q. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
15 POLONSKI Anthony 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
16 LIU Jacob B. 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
17 SORRENTINO Salvatore 100% 82% 31% 5% - -
18 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 100% 98% 82% 37% 3%
19 BOYKO Miles 100% 99% 78% 31% 4% -
20 ZHAO Bowen 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
21 DOUGLAS Rhys 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
22 HE Xiangrui 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 11%
23 STRINGER David 100% 99% 84% 42% 9% 1%
24 REAUME Nate 100% 46% 8% 1% - -
25 GNEUHS Sam 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
26 HERRERA Xavier 100% 17% 1% - - -
27 SMITH Cooper 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
28 CHOI Simon 100% 95% 49% 10% 1% -
29 ISSA Naoum P. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
30 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 30% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.