Bill Starr 3rd memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29% 2%
3 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
5 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
6 FERGUSON Levi 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 1%
7 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
8 HASTINGS Alex 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14% 1%
9 WENGER Liam 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15% 1%
10 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 91% 52% 16% 2% -
11 WENGER Rowan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
12 MURPHY Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
13 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
14 BALES Gabriel 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
15 YOUNG Jack 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
16 SYMMANK Callen 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
17 CRONK Trevor 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
18 ELTOFT Caden 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
19 JAKUBOVSKI Eric 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
20 LIM-SEIWERT Tristan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
21 XU Rambert 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
22 HALLETTMANES Ezra 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
23 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
24 MAZAHERI John 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
25 MUNOZ Rocco 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
26 MARTIN Wesley 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
27 GARRARD Jeremiah 100% 50% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.