Collegiate Cup RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
5 CHENG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
7 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
8 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
9 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
10 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
11 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
12 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
13 OH Jaden 100% 100% 96% 76% 29% 4%
14 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 18%
15 PONS Diego 100% 99% 90% 54% 16% 2%
16 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 8% -
17 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
18 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 65% 22% 4% < 1% -
19 LLIDO Soren 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
20 MA Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
21 PARK Sky 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
22 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
23 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
24 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
25 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6% -
26 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 4%
27 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 10%
28 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
29 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 5%
30 LE Jacob H. 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
31 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 1%
32 YI William 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
33 PARK Ryan 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
34 PARK Rion 100% 100% 99% 81% 41% 10% 1%
35 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 4%
36 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
37 LAM Nicolas 100% 99% 87% 48% 13% 2% -
38 CHAN Connor 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% -
38 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
40 PINCHENG Yao 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
41 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
42 REICHEL Ezra 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
43 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% -
44 ADAMS Cedric 100% 99% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
45 BORG Matthew 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% - -
46 WONG Evan 100% 99% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
47 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
48 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 60% 14% 1% - -
49 ZHANG Jacob 100% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
50 CAJERO Luis 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
51 TULYAG Azim 100% 87% 47% 11% 1% -
52 MA Bryant 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
53 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% -
54 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 76% 25% 3% - - -
55 CHANG Nathan 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
56 KUO Jayden 100% 63% 10% 1% - - -
57 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
57 KIM Jonah 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
59 PARK David 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% - -
60 YORK Lucas 100% 68% 18% 2% - -
61 LIANG Ethan 100% 49% 4% - - - -
62 TSOI Spencer 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
63 DEJOURNETT Jacob 100% 11% - - - - -
64 LI Gen 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.