Junior Olympic National Championships

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, February 17, 2019 at 1:30 PM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 LO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 28%
3 LAM Justina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
5 MARINELLI Ever 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
6 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
7 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
8 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
9 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
10 LIAO Madeline M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
11 WANG Karina (Karina Xue Wang) X. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
12 ELIZONDO Isabelle M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
13 TANG Louise 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 17%
14 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
15 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
16 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 13%
17 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
18 ZHANG Rachel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
19 LEE Alina 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
20 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
21 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
22 CHEN Alyssa J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
23 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
24 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
25 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
26 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 15%
27 THOMPSON Julia T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
28 SHEN Jasmine N. 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
29 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
30 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
31 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
32 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
33 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
34 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
35 TAN Elisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
36 HAO Alicia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
37 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
38 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
39 HAO Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
40 MANDOUR Sophia M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
41 KASI Anisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 16%
41 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
43 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
44 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
45 ZAROFF Roxanne 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 7%
46 VARUGHESE Olivia H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 5%
46 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 10%
48 IBEN Claire L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
49 MOLHO Sofia 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
50 LEVI Lea 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
51 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
52 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
53 MAROTTA Veronica L. 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
54 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
55 SHALANSKY Julia B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 3%
56 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
57 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 5%
58 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
59 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 57%
60 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
61 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
62 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
63 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
64 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% -
65 WU Kyra 100% 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% < 1%
66 RASO Sofia G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 6%
67 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
68 REN Olivia Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 18%
69 HUNT Tarleton Q. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
70 CHEN Nicole Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
71 YU Seneca 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
72 FAN Elaine 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
73 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
74 ALFONSO Czarina M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
75 HARFELD Skylar 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
76 TAN Delphine 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
77 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
78 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
79 AHN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19% 2%
80 PARK Rowan M. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
81 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
82 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 1%
83 COLA Emmanuelle (Emma) R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
84 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14% 1%
85 CHENG Lydia A. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 8% -
86 DUAN Konnie 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
87 JO Mia C. 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4% -
88 UYANIK Nerine 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
89 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
90 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
91 DE LA CRUZ Alyssa 100% 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
92 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13%
93 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
94 BARNETTE Zoe 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% 3%
95 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
96 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 96% 67% 26% 5% -
97 BANIN Isabelle J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
98 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
98 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% -
100 LOCKE Savannah 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
101 TAKAGI Hikaru G. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
102 KIM Lauren Hyomin 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
103 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
103 KALOPER Sofia 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
105 ZHANG Sylvia 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
106 VONA Elena M. 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
107 LOW Sharon J. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
107 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
109 SUH Kailey E. 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
110 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 8%
111 CHEN Cynthia 100% 98% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
112 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
113 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
114 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18% 2%
115 MORAN Emma 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
116 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
117 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
118 WU Irene M. 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
119 GONG Christina S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
120 LI Meilin 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
121 LUU Shanon K. 100% 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
122 TONG Ophelia 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
123 YEH Samantha 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
124 PATEL Anika 100% 99% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
125 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
126 OH Erin H. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
127 CHO Taylor S. 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
128 BALCH Julia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
129 PRIETO Sofia M. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
130 LAMPSON-STIXRUD Dolly C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
131 CHON Samantha 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
132 MOON Elina C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
133 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% -
134 HENDRIAN Rachel M. 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
135 CHEN Kelly 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
136 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
137 MERGES Gretl C. 100% 97% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
138 LEE Paulina 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2%
139 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
140 KIM Kayla A. 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
141 ROSBERGER Jessica 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 2% -
142 FERNANDES Thea 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
143 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
144 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
145 CHON Sydney 100% 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
146 LIU Alice M. 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
147 ALTEN Ayaka 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
148 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 95% 63% 19% 3% - -
149 LIAO Jerrica 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
150 PO Edith 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
151 HAUK Zsofia F. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
151 HOLLE Aviella S. 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6% -
153 BOODELL Ella 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
154 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
155 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
156 LAU Sydnee M. 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
157 OUTHRED Maya E. 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
158 KEESING Liana 100% 93% 55% 15% 1% -
159 LEE Bethany W. 100% 99% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
160 SU Alysa J. 100% 99% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
161 XU Christine 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
162 MCDONALD Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 8% 1%
162 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
162 TAN Clarisse 100% 99% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
165 GILIOLI Alexia 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
165 JING Emily 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
167 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
168 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
168 BOLES Sophia 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
170 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
171 STEWART Isabella A. 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 4% -
171 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 100% 83% 47% 15% 3% -
173 YEH Marissa E. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
174 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
175 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
176 YE Eileen 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
177 LEE Angelina S. 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2% -
178 DING Abigail 100% 97% 72% 26% 4% - -
179 SCHUEPPERT Amelia V. 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
180 ATLURI Srija 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
181 MILLER Veronica 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
182 YANG Blanche 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
183 COKER Bettina M. 100% 86% 46% 14% 2% - -
184 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
185 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
186 KIM Alyssa 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
187 LU Tiffany J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 6%
188 LEVERMANN Lexa L. 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
189 DAVIDSON Sammy C. 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
190 D'ARCY Annie M. 100% 97% 60% 19% 3% - -
190 JIANG Yangying (Amanda) 100% 96% 55% 14% 1% - -
192 LEE Isabelle 100% 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
193 TRAN Ava D. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
194 MARLEY-WEAVER Jordan 100% 27% 3% - - - -
195 RAMAN Tanvi 100% 95% 43% 8% 1% - -
196 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 98% 64% 23% 4% - -
197 LONG Madeline M. 100% 94% 57% 19% 3% - -
198 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
199 LEE Alison 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
200 SHIH Diane 100% 99% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
201 BAKER-ROSENBERG Raynor S. 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
202 HU Aining 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
203 HOLMGREN Tegan L. 100% 87% 41% 9% 1% - -
204 SHEN Cindy L. 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
205 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 92% 53% 13% 1% - -
206 LAM Bella 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
207 JEWETT Jamie 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1% -
208 SIMPSON Lydia Q. 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
209 WHITESIDES Ella K. 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
210 THOMAS Aaria S. 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
211 WANG Catherine K. 100% 79% 31% 6% - -
212 HEISER Anna M. 100% 50% 7% - - - -
212 SALINAS Jessica L. 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
214 WANG Christine 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
215 SANDAU Ella 100% 19% 1% - - - -
216 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
216 HIRSCH Sophie A. 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
218 KUMAR Anmol 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
218 MUELLER Tatum J. 100% 46% 11% 1% - - -
220 BAILLY-HALL Isidora D. 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
221 RASO Olivia 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% - -
221 ROCCA Mary J. 100% 3% - - - - -
221 GRAFLUND Ashley L. 100% 16% 1% - - - -
224 POWERS Kathryn 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
224 RAILTON Chelsea O. 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
226 GROGAN Hunter K. 100% 30% 4% - - - -
226 CHEN Hanna D. 100% 24% 2% - - - -
228 LEE Ariana 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
229 CHIPMAN Emma M. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
230 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
230 KATZE Ashley 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
230 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 12% - - - - -
230 LEE Joanne 100% 12% - - - - -
234 ADORNO-MARTINEZ Eva M. 100% 42% 7% - - - -
235 LU Ellen M. 100% 9% - - - - -
235 KARCZ Hannah 100% 13% - - - - -
235 DILKS Zoe 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
235 BATRA Savita 100% 25% 3% - - - -
239 ZERROU Hana 100% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.