Mission SYC 2023

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 60%
2 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
3 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
3 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
5 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
6 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 14%
7 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
8 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
9 KUMAR Arjun 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
10 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
11 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
12 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 6%
13 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
14 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
15 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
16 SUBA Lucas 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
17 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
18 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
19 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
20 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
21 ZHAO Royce 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
22 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 20%
23 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
24 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
25 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 4%
26 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
27 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
28 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
29 MATTOO Deven 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
30 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
31 DEELY Hartigan 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% -
32 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 4% -
33 WANG Michael 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% < 1%
34 OH Aster 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
35 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
36 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 11%
37 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% -
38 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
39 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 30%
40 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
41 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
42 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
43 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
44 LEE Anderson 100% 98% 79% 40% 9% 1%
45 TSATSAS Andreas 100% 99% 83% 41% 7% -
46 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
47 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
48 TAN Vick 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
49 BAI Evan 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
50 LIU Ryan 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
51 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
52 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
53 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
54 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
55 LI Huangziyue 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
56 MARTINSON Torm 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
57 PORTER Dupree 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
58 FIROOZI Sam 100% 18% 1% - - -
59 VOHRA Ekam 100% 42% 6% - - -
60 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
61 FADEL Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
62 SUN Andrew 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
63 LEE Matthew 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
64 HU Andrew 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
65 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
66 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
67 GERTSBERG Eli 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
68 MUNJULURI ruhaan 100% 90% 43% 11% 1% - -
69 ROYCHOUDHURY Aniket 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
70 KETT Richard 100% 94% 61% 23% 4% - -
71 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
72 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 81% 37% 5% -
73 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
74 KUMAR Avinash 100% 97% 63% 19% 2% -
75 VALENCIA Jose 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
76 RINALDI Savio 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% - -
77 DAI Zihou 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
78 HU Jayden 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
79 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
80 OREN Daniel 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
81 LIU Alexander 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
82 LIN Brendan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
82 MILLET Etienne 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
84 LEE John 100% 81% 28% 5% - -
85 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 73% 29% 6% - - -
86 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
87 LI Aidan 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.