Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CRANOR Erich L. | V V D D D V | V V V V V | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| 2 | GUAN Nathan | V D V D D D | V V V V V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 3 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | D V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 3 | BU Xian Chen | V V V V D V | V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 5 | BENACK Steven M. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 6 | KILUK Andrew | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 7 | URBAN Karl | V V D V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 8 | LIPPMAN Jake | V V V D V D | V V D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 9 | BLOCK B.J. | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 10 | PARKS Isaac | V V V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 11 | PETERSEN Ephraim | V V V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 12 | HONZ Jacob | V V D V V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 13 | CASTANEDA Erika L. | V V V D V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 14 | WANG Terry | V D D V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 15 | WEGENER Soren | D V D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 16 | WELDON Benjamin | D D V V V D | V D | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| 17 | GULLO Kenji Y. | V V V V V D | D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 18 | ARMES Jonas | D D V V V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 19 | MAKMATOV Vadim | V D V D V V | D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 20 | KLEIN Johannes | D D V V V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 21 | BLOM Mark D. | V D D V V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 22 | BEAVER Aaron | V V V D D D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 23 | COOKE Cameron | V D D V V D | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 24 | RABOIN James | D D V V D V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 25 | FORD Israel | D V D V D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 26 | KRYLTSOV Greg | V D V D D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 27 | STACKHOUSE Andre L. | D D D V D V | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 27 | PENG Gregory | D V D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 29 | BIROAN Chaz | D D V D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | DONDISCH Ilan | V D D D D D | V D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 31 | WAI Andreas | D D D D D V | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 32 | KIM Teo | D D D D V D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 33 | LU Henry | D V D V D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 34 | KHRISSANOV Peter | D D V D D V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 35 | CHAKRABORTY Zorian | D V D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 36 | HIRANI Kareem | V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 37 | SCHULTZ Nomi | D D D D D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 38 | GUAN Isabella | D D D D D | D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| 39 | FORD Nikanor | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 40 | MARSO Ellie | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.