East Bay Fencers Gym - Oakland, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet | V V V V V V V | V V V V V | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| 2 | RICHARD Silas | D V D D D | V V V V V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 3 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| 3 | PERALTA Christian | D D V D D D | V V V V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 5 | HERODOTOU Orestis | V V D V V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 6 | MENEGOLI Lorenzo | V V D V V V | V V D | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 7 | SITTER Gregoire | V D D V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 8 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | D D V D V V D | V V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 9 | DUONG Zoey | V V V V V | V D | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| 10 | PIVOVAROV Lucas | V D D V V V | V D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 11 | SODHI Jaco | V D V D D V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 12 | ROOD Alex | D V V D D V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 13 | MADRID Maureen | D V V V D D | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 14 | HEINS Dylan | V D D V D D V | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 15 | HICKS Zachary | V D D V D V D | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 16 | LONDON George | D D D V V D V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 17 | HELGE James R. | V V V V V V | D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 18 | NGUYEN Steven | D V V V V V V | D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 19 | NICHOLSON Dominic A. | V V V V D V | D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 20 | HARGROVE Charles | V V V V V D | D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 21 | SLATER Michael D. | V D V V V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 22 | PHILIPPINE Johan L. | D D V V V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 23 | SLOAN Ryan | V D V V D V | D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 24 | ABELE Chris | V D V V D V | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 25 | CHEN Steve | V V D D D V V | D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 26 | VERITY Charles | V D D V V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 27 | KUO Michael | V D D V V D | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 28 | LI Yunji | D D V V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 29 | BEITTEL David F. | D D V D V D D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 30 | NGUYEN Grayson | D D D V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 31 | HARGROVE Kai | D D D D V | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 32 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | V D D D D D | V D | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
| 33 | HOGE Patrick | V V D D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 34 | OU wei | D V D V D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 35 | BROCKMANN Brooke | V V D D D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 36 | COHEN Jack | D D D D V V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 37 | AIRES Julia | D V V D D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 38 | MAYER Bob | D V V D D D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 39 | SHELBY Robert | D V D D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 40 | VERITY Alexander | D D D V D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 41 | DUONG John | D V D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 42 | KAUR Jaap | V D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 43 | LOGUE Paul | D D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.