Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, June 4, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NATH Trisha - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
2 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
3 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
3 TSUI Natalie - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
5 PAUL Lila - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
6 ZHANG XUANYI - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
7 DANTULURI Shalini 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
8 FEIG Sela - 1% 7% 28% 46% 19%
9 YOUNG Charlotte G. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
10 MCKEE Brynnley - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
11 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
12 GUGALA Hanna 1% 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
13 LUKASHENKO Angelina - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
14 LEE Sophia - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
15 SCOTT Eve - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
16 JEONG Katie - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
17 GUVEN Coco - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
18 WEI JoyAnn - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
19 ENDO Miyuki N. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
20 CHIARELLI Valentina - - 10% 37% 41% 11%
21 LIGH Erenei J. - - 2% 14% 43% 40%
22 BERNARD Kathryn 5% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
23 NATHANSON Sammy E. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
24 WEI Vivian W. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
24 LIU Yifei - 1% 10% 29% 40% 19%
26 BOYNTON Ainsley 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
27 SO Catelyn - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
28 DAI Olivia - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
29 GRAJALES Hannah E. - - 5% 21% 40% 29% 5%
30 CARTER Keely 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
31 MARGULIAN Maria 3% 25% 41% 25% 6% -
32 XU Emily T. 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
33 FERNANDEZ Martina - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
34 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
35 MAKLIN Sofia - 2% 13% 31% 37% 16%
36 MARYASH Samantha - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
37 ZENG Sarah - 4% 21% 39% 30% 7%
38 CHIN Elise 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
39 HU Michelle - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
40 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
41 BAWA Anahat 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 5% -
42 TENG EMMA 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
43 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
44 CHAVAN Arya 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 2%
45 KANDADAI Lara 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
46 TODD Phoebe 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
47 PADANILAM Lily 2% 20% 41% 30% 7% 1%
48 HUAI Delilah - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
49 KURAEVA Vasilisa - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
50 PRIEUR Lauren - - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
51 TAN Kylie 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
52 MERCHANT Aishwarya 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
53 KHAN Alissa - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
54 ZHANG Sophie - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
55 LOO Kaitlyn 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
56 YEN Natalie 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
57 HUANG MADELINE 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
58 MONTORIO Lily M. - 7% 42% 39% 12% 1%
59 MANN Sophia J. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
60 WANG yining - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
61 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
62 FANG Sophie - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
63 DILLE Carolina G. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
64 DUDNICK Morgan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
65 HAMBAZAZA Liisa - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
66 SCHOEW Margot 3% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
67 WUNNAVA Elina 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
68 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 3% 29% 42% 22% 4% -
69 KONDEV Elizabeth - 1% 16% 43% 33% 7%
70 KINKADE Ellie 5% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
71 HU Anna 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
72 LIN Nicole - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
73 STONE Coral - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
74 ZHAO Emily W. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
75 CHEN Kevy 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
76 TREACY Aisling 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
77 DHAR Layla 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
78 BUSH Bethany 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
78 FENG Alicia G. 1% 13% 36% 37% 12% 1%
80 PAL Anjali G. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
81 MANKOVA Varvara - 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
82 SHINCHUK Ellisha 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
83 TA-ZHOU Emma 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
84 YOUNG Audrey 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
84 ONG Lauren 23% 46% 25% 5% - - -
86 HUANG Neila 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
87 TUNG Renee 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
88 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 62% 32% 6% - - - -
89 CHI Claire 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
89 DANTULURI Shivani 25% 60% 14% 1% - -
91 XIE Nora 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1%
92 BARROSO Isabela 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
93 ZHOU Ziling 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
94 NEUMAN Ella 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
95 SHMULER Fiona 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
96 LITTLE Avery 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
97 DUCKETT Retta 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
98 SUHALIM Maree 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
99 DE SILVA Augusta 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
100 LAGOON Miriam 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
101 WANG Jiayi 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
102 WUNNAVA Ellora 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
102 NAYAK Antara 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
104 GERASIMOVA Valeria 75% 23% 2% - - -
105 KHOST Maeve 8% 40% 37% 13% 2% - -
106 ELNATAN Mica A. 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
106 HAMMERSTROM Aria 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
108 MAROSFOI Virag 71% 26% 3% - - -
109 MORGAN Lily 63% 35% 3% - - -
109 DUCKETT Leighton 36% 42% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.