Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, June 4, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
2 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
3 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
5 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
7 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
8 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
9 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
10 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
11 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
12 GUGALA Hanna 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
13 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
14 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
15 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
16 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
17 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
18 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
19 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
20 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 89% 52% 11%
21 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
22 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
23 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
24 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
24 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
26 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
27 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
28 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
29 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
30 CARTER Keely 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
31 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 97% 72% 31% 7% -
32 XU Emily T. 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
33 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
34 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
35 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
36 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
37 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
38 CHIN Elise 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
39 HU Michelle 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
40 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
41 BAWA Anahat 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
42 TENG EMMA 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
43 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
44 CHAVAN Arya 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
45 KANDADAI Lara 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
46 TODD Phoebe 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
47 PADANILAM Lily 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
48 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
49 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
50 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
51 TAN Kylie 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
52 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
53 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
54 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
55 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
56 YEN Natalie 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
57 HUANG MADELINE 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
58 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 93% 51% 13% 1%
59 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
60 WANG yining 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
61 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
62 FANG Sophie 100% 100% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
63 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
64 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
65 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
66 SCHOEW Margot 100% 97% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
67 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
68 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 97% 68% 26% 4% -
69 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 83% 40% 7%
70 KINKADE Ellie 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
71 HU Anna 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
72 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
73 STONE Coral 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
74 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
75 CHEN Kevy 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
76 TREACY Aisling 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
77 DHAR Layla 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2%
78 BUSH Bethany 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
78 FENG Alicia G. 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 1%
80 PAL Anjali G. 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
81 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 90% 59% 21% 3%
82 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
83 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
84 YOUNG Audrey 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
84 ONG Lauren 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
86 HUANG Neila 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
87 TUNG Renee 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
88 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 38% 6% - - - -
89 CHI Claire 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
89 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 75% 15% 1% - -
91 XIE Nora 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
92 BARROSO Isabela 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% -
93 ZHOU Ziling 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
94 NEUMAN Ella 100% 95% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
95 SHMULER Fiona 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
96 LITTLE Avery 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
97 DUCKETT Retta 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
98 SUHALIM Maree 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
99 DE SILVA Augusta 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
100 LAGOON Miriam 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
101 WANG Jiayi 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
102 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
102 NAYAK Antara 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
104 GERASIMOVA Valeria 100% 25% 3% - - -
105 KHOST Maeve 100% 92% 52% 15% 2% - -
106 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
106 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
108 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 29% 4% - - -
109 MORGAN Lily 100% 37% 3% - - -
109 DUCKETT Leighton 100% 64% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.