2023 OFC Pre Summer Nationals

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, June 24, 2023 at 4:00 PM

OLYMPIC FENCERS CLUB - Johns Creek, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KUCIA Michael J. 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
2 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
3 MOON Seojung 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
3 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
5 SARSOUR Ghaleb 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
6 HWANG Brandon 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
7 CHOI David 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
8 ATON Dave 100% 100% 93% 59% 15%
9 BARCLAY Khyri 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
10 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
11 HONG Robin 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
12 SRAMBIKKAL Pranav 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
12 CHOI Adam 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% -
14 NGUYEN Hubert 100% 100% 94% 59% 14%
15 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
16 HONG Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
17 JOO Jeremy 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
18 LU Chang 100% 51% 7% - -
19 KWON Jason 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
20 ARZT Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
21 LIU Jacob 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
21 KIM Minsung 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
23 ROCKWELL Nolan 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
24 KIM Sangone 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
25 LEE Sean 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
26 DOTY Matthew 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
27 KIM Theodore 100% 71% 20% 2% -
28 FAN Yuchen 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
29 BEVILACQUA Jacob 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
30 BRITTON Kiera 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
31 LI Ryan 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
33 OH Tony 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.