National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Women's Épée

Friday, June 30, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVIS Jessica L. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
2 PAPADAKIS Lily - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
3 MAO Amy - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
3 CHEN Lefu - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
5 BEI Karen - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
6 YU Nicole J. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
7 BUECHEL Holly M. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
8 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
9 PEHLIVANI Zara - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
10 ZUHARS Renee A. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
11 SMUK Alexandra S. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
12 WANG Zoe 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% < 1% -
13 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
14 WELLS Tesla M. - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
15 WITTER Catherine A. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
16 EDWARDS Auprell 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
17 LEE Natasha - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
18 LOMBARD Ella - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
19 SMITH Grace L. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
20 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
21 CALDERA Lexi I. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
22 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
23 YANG Alisa - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
24 LAN Alice S. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
25 YOU Emily 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
26 BOURDEAU Emily B. - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 29%
27 KENT Elizabeth J. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
28 BUSH emma 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
29 ISERT Sarah - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
30 WONG Alexandra R. - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 2%
31 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 12% 32% 34% 18% 4% 1% -
32 HEPLER Sarah 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
33 NEMETH Katherine - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
34 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
35 HANSEN Kira - - 3% 15% 33% 36% 13%
36 KALE Anika A. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
37 REID Anousheh - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
38 DU Eiry - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
39 YAO Yilin 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
40 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
41 REID Sobia - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
42 ZHOU Wenjun 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 2%
43 FOELLMER Kristin - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
44 SHU Youshan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
45 SMUK Daria A. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
46 CANNING Charlotte 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
47 CARRIER Meredith 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
48 WATTANAKIT Anda 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
49 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
50 LIN Elaine - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
51 SHELIN Chelsea 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
52 FURMAN Maria - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
53 POTAPENKO Margarita D. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
54 LIANG Jingjing 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
55 MOON Seojung 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
56 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
57 FENG ge 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
58 GAO Judy 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
59 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
60 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
61 LEE Samantha X. 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
62 WONG Caitlin 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
63 LEE Yedda 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
64 CHERNIS Zoe C. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
65 KUMAR Eva 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
66 GITHENS Gracyn J. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
67 RUNIONS Emersyn - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
68 MUNOZ Andrea H. 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
69 PRIHODKO Nina 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
70 LIU Nicole 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
71 SPRINGER Sierra - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
72 POLANICHKA Nicole - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
73 LAWSON Marie A. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 28% 8%
74 MILEWSKI Nicole - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
75 BARG Daniella - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
76 BENZAN India 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
77 BOTNER Olivia 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
78 HABERKERN Kundry E. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
79 HICKS Grace 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
80 TAN Jocelyn 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
81 YOU Isabel B. 9% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
82 SCHMID Carola K. 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
83 ASHER Valerie 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
84 CHANG Celine A. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
85 SUN Renee R. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
86 SCHULTZ Gillian 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
86 PINNAMANENI Drithi 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
88 NELSON Grace E. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
89 KINDEL Amara 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
90 DESAI Meera P. - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
91 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
92 YAO KATHARINE 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
93 HUANG Lanlan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
94 CHA Eugenie 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
95 CHENG Ava 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
96 HSIU Elizabeth 8% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
97 SCHULTZ Michelle M. - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
98 MARTYNOVA Diana 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
99 CHOI Grace 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 2%
100 ENRILE Erica 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
101 MONTOYA Amy C. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
102 STOECKEL Sofia I. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
102 LAI Amanda 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
104 ZHAO Alina 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
105 LI Charlotte 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
106 MEYER Rachel 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
107 DAYAL Saahira 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
108 KORKIN Alice 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
109 SHARMA Sanvi 4% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
110 TANG Sze Nga Nicole 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
111 HESS Heidi J. 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
112 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
113 DUONG Zoey 16% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
114 MIINEA Elena 10% 37% 35% 15% 3% - -
115 HOFMAN Haejung 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
116 GORDET Cristina G. 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
117 CAREY Michele S. 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
118 LI Fei 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
119 POON Desiree 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
120 PHUKAN Indra 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
121 HAU Olivia 23% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
122 CHANG Chloe 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.