National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Women's Épée

Friday, June 30, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
2 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
3 MAO Amy 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 19%
3 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
5 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
6 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
7 BUECHEL Holly M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
8 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
9 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
10 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
11 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
12 WANG Zoe 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% < 1% -
13 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
14 WELLS Tesla M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
15 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
16 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
17 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
18 LOMBARD Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
19 SMITH Grace L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
20 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
21 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
22 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
23 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 8%
24 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
25 YOU Emily 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
26 BOURDEAU Emily B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
27 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
28 BUSH emma 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
29 ISERT Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
30 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
31 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
32 HEPLER Sarah 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
33 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
34 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
35 HANSEN Kira 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
36 KALE Anika A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
37 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
38 DU Eiry 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
39 YAO Yilin 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
40 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
41 REID Sobia 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
42 ZHOU Wenjun 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
43 FOELLMER Kristin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
44 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
45 SMUK Daria A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
46 CANNING Charlotte 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
47 CARRIER Meredith 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
48 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
49 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
50 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
51 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
52 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
53 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
54 LIANG Jingjing 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
55 MOON Seojung 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
56 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
57 FENG ge 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
58 GAO Judy 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
59 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
60 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
61 LEE Samantha X. 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
62 WONG Caitlin 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
63 LEE Yedda 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
64 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
65 KUMAR Eva 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
66 GITHENS Gracyn J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
67 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
68 MUNOZ Andrea H. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
69 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
70 LIU Nicole 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
71 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
72 POLANICHKA Nicole 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
73 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
74 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
75 BARG Daniella 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
76 BENZAN India 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
77 BOTNER Olivia 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 8% 1%
78 HABERKERN Kundry E. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 29% 6%
79 HICKS Grace 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
80 TAN Jocelyn 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
81 YOU Isabel B. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
82 SCHMID Carola K. 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
83 ASHER Valerie 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
84 CHANG Celine A. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
85 SUN Renee R. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
86 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
86 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
88 NELSON Grace E. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
89 KINDEL Amara 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
90 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
91 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
92 YAO KATHARINE 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
93 HUANG Lanlan 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
94 CHA Eugenie 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
95 CHENG Ava 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
96 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
97 SCHULTZ Michelle M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
98 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
99 CHOI Grace 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
100 ENRILE Erica 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
101 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
102 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
102 LAI Amanda 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
104 ZHAO Alina 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
105 LI Charlotte 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
106 MEYER Rachel 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
107 DAYAL Saahira 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
108 KORKIN Alice 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
109 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
110 TANG Sze Nga Nicole 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
111 HESS Heidi J. 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
112 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
113 DUONG Zoey 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
114 MIINEA Elena 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
115 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
116 GORDET Cristina G. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
117 CAREY Michele S. 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
118 LI Fei 100% 95% 74% 41% 13% 2% -
119 POON Desiree 100% 46% 11% 1% - -
120 PHUKAN Indra 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
121 HAU Olivia 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
122 CHANG Chloe 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.