Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | FRENCH Timothy | V V D D V | V V V V V | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 2 | HANSEN Eric J. | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | MAKMATOV Vadim | D V V V D | V V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 3 | SPRINGER Michael | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 5 | STEPHAN Jens | V V D V V | V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 6 | ROSTAL Scott E. | V V V V D | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 7 | ZUCKER Noah L. | V V V D V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 8 | ALLEN Graham | D V V V D | V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 9 | REAGAN Dustin R. | V V V V V | V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 10 | MACZIK Adam W. | V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 11 | CHENG Thomas | V V V V D | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 12 | LIOU Solomon | V V V D V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 13 | MENDOZA Zandro | D V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 14 | SHULL Marc | D D V V V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 15 | STOCK Jordan | V V D D V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 16 | CHU Brandon A. | V D D D D | V V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 17 | BARTLETT Jonathan R. | V V V V V | D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 18 | HARRELL D. Fox | D D D V V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 19 | COCHRAN Michael | V V D D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 20 | REED David | D D V D V | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 21 | HESS Marc F. | D D V D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 22 | KENT IV David | D D D V V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 23 | LOCASALE Nicholas A. | D D D V V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 24 | HILLSTROM Nathan | D D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 24 | KIM Jeff | D D V V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 26 | DAN Chuntao | D V D D V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 27 | DILLE Brice | V D D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 28 | OZANNE Jeffrey S. | D D V D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 29 | SLOAN Ryan | V D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | SITTER Gregoire | D D D V D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 31 | SANTOS Felipe | V D D D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 32 | LIN Kimball | D D D D V | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 33 | RUSKIN David I. | D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 34 | DAVIS Kelly | V D D D D | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 35 | SILKEY Jason | D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 36 | ALLRED Byron | D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.