National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FRENCH Timothy - 1% 11% 39% 38% 11%
2 HANSEN Eric J. - - - 5% 36% 59%
3 MAKMATOV Vadim - 5% 24% 43% 25% 1%
3 SPRINGER Michael - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
5 STEPHAN Jens - - - 5% 38% 57%
6 ROSTAL Scott E. - - 1% 15% 58% 26%
7 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 2% 17% 58% 23%
8 ALLEN Graham - - 6% 29% 45% 20%
9 REAGAN Dustin R. - - - 1% 17% 82%
10 MACZIK Adam W. - - 3% 22% 46% 29%
11 CHENG Thomas - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
12 LIOU Solomon - 4% 22% 43% 28% 2%
13 MENDOZA Zandro 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
14 SHULL Marc 5% 40% 43% 12% 1% -
15 STOCK Jordan 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
16 CHU Brandon A. 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
17 BARTLETT Jonathan R. - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
18 HARRELL D. Fox 1% 14% 41% 38% 7% -
19 COCHRAN Michael - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
20 REED David 33% 46% 18% 2% - -
21 HESS Marc F. 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
22 KENT IV David 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
23 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 1% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1%
24 HILLSTROM Nathan 2% 18% 44% 31% 4% -
24 KIM Jeff 4% 35% 43% 16% 1% -
26 DAN Chuntao 24% 47% 25% 4% - -
27 DILLE Brice 3% 32% 46% 17% 2% -
28 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
29 SLOAN Ryan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
30 SITTER Gregoire 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
31 SANTOS Felipe 2% 17% 43% 33% 5% -
32 LIN Kimball 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
33 RUSKIN David I. 3% 26% 45% 23% 3% -
34 DAVIS Kelly 70% 26% 3% - - -
35 SILKEY Jason 78% 21% 2% - - -
36 ALLRED Byron 80% 19% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.