Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WATRALL Rick | V V V D V V | V V V V V | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 2 | VARNEY John R. | V V V D V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | RICHARDS Dick | V D V V V V | V V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 3 | SCHINDLER Sergey M. | V V V V D D | V V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 5 | HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 6 | AMELI Sean | D D V V V V | V V V D | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 7 | VAN DYKE Frank | D V V D V V | V V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 8 | JENSEN David | D V V V V D | V V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 9 | DRAGONETTI Walter E. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 10 | PERKA Michael | V D V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 10 | FRANK Fred | V D V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 12 | KAROLAK Dale W. | D V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 13 | GLASS Timothy C. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 14 | NIEMIEC Mark | V D D V V V | V V D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 15 | HAYENGA Gary M. | V V D V V D | V V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 16 | NEALE James H. | D V D D V V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 17 | SEGAL Mark N. | V V V V D V | D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 18 | DELGADO Jr. Eli M. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 19 | JAMES Lonnie M. | V V V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 20 | SWANSON Dave | D V V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 21 | RANES Evan | V V V V D V | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 22 | JUGAN Bruce M. | V V D V V D | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 23 | SETTE Alessandro | V D D D V V | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 24 | ALEXANDER Chuck | D V V V D D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 25 | MCTIGUE J. Michael | V D D V V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 26 | KLEIN Johannes | V V V D D D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 27 | LANDIS Geoffrey A. | D D V V V D | V D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 28 | SIMMONS Matthew C. | V D V D D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 29 | POPPRE Michael N. | V D D V D | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 30 | KRUGER Mark | D D D D V | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 31 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | V D D D D D | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 32 | MARSHALL William L. | D D D D D D | V D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 33 | CHANG Henry | D V V V V V | D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 34 | LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. | V V V D D V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 35 | WHITELOCK James R. | D V D V V V | D | 1.2 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 36 | WHEELER Mark C. | D V V D D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 | |
| 37 | EVANS Allen L. | V D D D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 38 | HUGHES Michael D. | D V D D V D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 39 | BEITTEL David F. | V D D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 40 | PITZEL John E. | V D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 41 | SIEDOW Jeffrey | D V V D D D | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 42 | MCKEE David | D D D D V V | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 43 | MITCHELL Matthew D. | V V D D D D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 44 | POOLE James M. | D V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 45 | POPOVICI Alexander M. | D D D V D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 46 | TIERNEY Luke | D V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 47 | STONE Ken | D D V D D D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 48 | GROSS Louis A. | D D D D D V | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 49 | CROUCH William John (John) | D D D V D D | D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 50 | CHERNEK Stephen L. | V D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 50 | GILLESPIE Jeremy W. | D D D V D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 52 | SKOPIK Jr August | D D D D D V | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 53 | ENGLISH William | D D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 54 | MONES Robert (Bob) J. | D D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 55 | OLSON Mark R. | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.