National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-60 Men's Épée

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WATRALL Rick - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
2 VARNEY John R. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
3 RICHARDS Dick - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 SCHINDLER Sergey M. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
5 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
6 AMELI Sean - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
7 VAN DYKE Frank - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
8 JENSEN David - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
9 DRAGONETTI Walter E. - - - - 3% 29% 67%
10 PERKA Michael - - 1% 6% 28% 52% 13%
10 FRANK Fred - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 12%
12 KAROLAK Dale W. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
13 GLASS Timothy C. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
14 NIEMIEC Mark 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
15 HAYENGA Gary M. - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
16 NEALE James H. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
17 SEGAL Mark N. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
18 DELGADO Jr. Eli M. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
19 JAMES Lonnie M. - 1% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1%
20 SWANSON Dave 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
21 RANES Evan - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
22 JUGAN Bruce M. - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
23 SETTE Alessandro 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
24 ALEXANDER Chuck - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
25 MCTIGUE J. Michael - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3%
26 KLEIN Johannes 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4% -
27 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
28 SIMMONS Matthew C. - 3% 22% 40% 28% 7% 1%
29 POPPRE Michael N. 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
30 KRUGER Mark 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
31 DOWNEY Gerard C. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
32 MARSHALL William L. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
33 CHANG Henry - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
34 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
35 WHITELOCK James R. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
36 WHEELER Mark C. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
37 EVANS Allen L. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
38 HUGHES Michael D. - 2% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
39 BEITTEL David F. 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
40 PITZEL John E. 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
41 SIEDOW Jeffrey 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
42 MCKEE David 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
43 MITCHELL Matthew D. 32% 54% 13% 1% - - -
44 POOLE James M. 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
45 POPOVICI Alexander M. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
46 TIERNEY Luke 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
47 STONE Ken 67% 29% 4% - - - -
48 GROSS Louis A. 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
49 CROUCH William John (John) - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
50 CHERNEK Stephen L. 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
50 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
52 SKOPIK Jr August 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
53 ENGLISH William 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
54 MONES Robert (Bob) J. 5% 27% 41% 21% 5% - -
55 OLSON Mark R. 50% 43% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.