National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Saber

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TABANGAY Heartlyn - - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
2 GAUTAM Sahana - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 DENG Brooke - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 HUANG Rachael - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
5 TESTROET Aubrey - 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
6 CHO Michelle - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
7 RAMIREZ Mirka A. - - 1% 6% 26% 47% 20%
8 GOLDIN Nina - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
9 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
10 FAN Grace - 1% 9% 33% 45% 12%
11 MALEK Zolie - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
12 SEAL Cameron I. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
13 WILSON Eva - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
14 DUDNICK Morgan - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
15 ISBERG Natalie - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
16 FREY Sarah E. - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
17 MANN Sophia J. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
18 NAYAK Esha - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
19 YAM Danika - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
20 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
21 REGANTI Sitara - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
22 LEE Lauren - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
23 CHIANG Melissa - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
24 MONTORIO Lily M. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
24 CHEN Kevy 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 1%
24 GARRETT Madrid - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
27 ZHENG Valentina - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
28 GOLOVITSER Maya - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
29 BROWNER June 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
30 STONE Coral - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
31 ONG Lauren 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
32 SIDDIQUI Reem - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
33 CHI Claire - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
34 GRAJALES Hannah E. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
35 DHAR Layla - 1% 12% 34% 38% 15%
36 NAYAK Anika - 1% 7% 25% 41% 23% 4%
37 IYER Arushi 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 2%
38 PABIAN Emilia - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
38 CHAN Kayla - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
40 LI Alexis - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
41 CHAVAN Arya - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
42 CHIN Elise - - 6% 25% 43% 25%
43 SHEARER Alena 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
44 LUKER Hannah - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
45 MANKOVA Varvara - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
46 PRAXL Alexa R. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
47 JEFFORDS Sophia 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
47 BRODERICK Kylin - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
49 GOSAVI Aabolee 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
50 CHEN Elaine - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
51 COLBY Mercer 1% 12% 36% 38% 12% 1%
52 TERP Lucy 45% 41% 12% 1% - -
53 CARLUCCI Laura A. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
54 ADAMS Morrigan B. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
55 FENG Alicia G. 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
56 MYAT Chloe 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
57 KORINTH Jacqueline - 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
58 LISSO Ria A. - - < 1% 5% 33% 62%
59 NICHOLAS Eva 1% 11% 35% 36% 15% 2%
60 HOLMES Sabrina - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% -
61 ZHAN Sophie - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
62 BUCKHOUSE Talia 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
63 BENT Sarah 11% 42% 34% 11% 2% -
64 YOUNG Audrey - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
65 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
66 BAROUCH Susanna 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
67 TODD Phoebe - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
68 BAINS Nandini 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
69 XU Emily T. - 1% 10% 32% 39% 17%
70 LITTLE Avery - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
71 TREACY Aisling - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
72 CAO Sophie 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
73 KINKADE Ellie 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
74 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 2% 22% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
75 VANCE Beth S. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
76 VILD Grace 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
77 DEBERTIN Beth - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
78 KIM Caitlin 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
79 NGUYEN Madeleine 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
80 SCHICK Veronica - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
81 NAIR Supriya 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
82 GOURNEAU Sophie L. 10% 37% 37% 14% 2% -
83 LEUNG Ashlyn K. - 6% 26% 40% 24% 5%
84 HERMAN Sabrina 34% 46% 17% 3% - -
85 SUHALIM Maree 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 4% -
86 MCNALLY Teagan 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
87 SCHOEW Margot 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
88 NEUMAN Ella - 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
89 PAINE Lily - - < 1% 2% 13% 44% 41%
90 ASHTIANI Shaya 1% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
91 LIU Hannah 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
92 VANKIRK Avery 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
93 CHOI Sophie Grace 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
94 WODISKA Ava 70% 26% 4% - - - -
95 MORGAN Lily 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
96 SHELLEY Scarlett 22% 46% 25% 6% 1% -
97 LABRECQUE Savannah 1% 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
98 BANGALORE Shriya 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
99 EGAN Caroline 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
100 SAJAN Anita 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
101 DUCKETT Retta 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
101 FORD-BURRIS Zooey 9% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
103 BAIK Madeline 36% 47% 15% 2% - - -
103 VERWEST Melissa 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
103 SNOAD Indy 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
106 WHITESIDES Abigail E. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 2%
106 MARTIN Audrey 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
106 HOAGLAND Simone 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
109 ABDULLAHI Saara 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
110 SEELIG Samantha 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
111 RANJAN Diya 4% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
112 LAZO Emily 37% 44% 16% 3% - -
113 DUCKETT Leighton 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
114 CHOW Caitlyn 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
115 PREIMESBERGER Elaine 30% 48% 19% 3% - -
116 CHANG Julia 8% 33% 40% 16% 2% - -
117 DONDERIS Katherine 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
117 FOURNIER Madison 59% 34% 6% - - - -
119 SIMS Addy 58% 35% 6% - - -
120 RIESTERER Katherine 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
121 WHITLEY Alexis 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.