National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Saber

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
2 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
5 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
6 CHO Michelle 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
7 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 20%
8 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
9 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2%
10 FAN Grace 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 12%
11 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
12 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
13 WILSON Eva 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
14 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
15 ISBERG Natalie 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
16 FREY Sarah E. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
17 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
18 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
19 YAM Danika 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
20 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
21 REGANTI Sitara 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
22 LEE Lauren 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
23 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
24 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
24 CHEN Kevy 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
24 GARRETT Madrid 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
27 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
28 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
29 BROWNER June 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
30 STONE Coral 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
31 ONG Lauren 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
32 SIDDIQUI Reem 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
33 CHI Claire 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
34 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
35 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
36 NAYAK Anika 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
37 IYER Arushi 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
38 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
38 CHAN Kayla 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
40 LI Alexis 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
41 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
42 CHIN Elise 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
43 SHEARER Alena 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
44 LUKER Hannah 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
45 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
46 PRAXL Alexa R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
47 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
47 BRODERICK Kylin 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
49 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
50 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
51 COLBY Mercer 100% 99% 87% 51% 13% 1%
52 TERP Lucy 100% 55% 14% 1% - -
53 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
54 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
55 FENG Alicia G. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
56 MYAT Chloe 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
57 KORINTH Jacqueline 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
58 LISSO Ria A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
59 NICHOLAS Eva 100% 99% 88% 52% 17% 2%
60 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
61 ZHAN Sophie 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
62 BUCKHOUSE Talia 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
63 BENT Sarah 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% -
64 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
65 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
66 BAROUCH Susanna 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
67 TODD Phoebe 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
68 BAINS Nandini 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
69 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
70 LITTLE Avery 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
71 TREACY Aisling 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
72 CAO Sophie 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% 1%
73 KINKADE Ellie 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6% -
74 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
75 VANCE Beth S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
76 VILD Grace 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
77 DEBERTIN Beth 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
78 KIM Caitlin 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
79 NGUYEN Madeleine 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
80 SCHICK Veronica 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
81 NAIR Supriya 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
82 GOURNEAU Sophie L. 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% -
83 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
84 HERMAN Sabrina 100% 66% 20% 3% - -
85 SUHALIM Maree 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
86 MCNALLY Teagan 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
87 SCHOEW Margot 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
88 NEUMAN Ella 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
89 PAINE Lily 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
90 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
91 LIU Hannah 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
92 VANKIRK Avery 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
93 CHOI Sophie Grace 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
94 WODISKA Ava 100% 30% 4% - - - -
95 MORGAN Lily 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
96 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% -
97 LABRECQUE Savannah 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
98 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
99 EGAN Caroline 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
100 SAJAN Anita 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
101 DUCKETT Retta 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
101 FORD-BURRIS Zooey 100% 91% 52% 16% 2% - -
103 BAIK Madeline 100% 64% 17% 2% - - -
103 VERWEST Melissa 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
103 SNOAD Indy 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
106 WHITESIDES Abigail E. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
106 MARTIN Audrey 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
106 HOAGLAND Simone 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
109 ABDULLAHI Saara 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
110 SEELIG Samantha 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
111 RANJAN Diya 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% -
112 LAZO Emily 100% 63% 19% 3% - -
113 DUCKETT Leighton 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
114 CHOW Caitlyn 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
115 PREIMESBERGER Elaine 100% 70% 22% 3% - -
116 CHANG Julia 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% - -
117 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
117 FOURNIER Madison 100% 41% 7% - - - -
119 SIMS Addy 100% 42% 7% - - -
120 RIESTERER Katherine 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
121 WHITLEY Alexis 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.