Nutmeg State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Saturday, July 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMITH Liam - - - - 10% 90%
2 DOBBINS Evan - - - - 6% 94%
3 HILMER Michael - - 5% 32% 58% 4%
3 WERWA Griffith - 3% 19% 44% 35%
5 GE Daniel 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 3%
6 GREENLEAF Paul 2% 24% 43% 27% 5%
7 TJON Calum - 5% 34% 49% 13% -
8 LOZADA RODRIGUEZ Gabriel 1% 16% 41% 34% 8%
9 COPE Nathaniel - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
10 LEE Ethan 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% -
11 DJONOUMA Toyohm 1% 11% 47% 36% 6% -
12 SCHURK Daniel 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
13 JEFF Ariff 7% 29% 39% 21% 3% -
14 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 1% 18% 42% 32% 7%
15 KROLEWSKI Alex 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
16 CRUZ ZURITA Leonardo 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
17 GUERTIN Matthew 3% 16% 36% 34% 12% -
18 MAYER Richard - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
19 KISIEL Lucas 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
20 TESSMAN Henry 63% 34% 4% - - -
21 TRAUB Will 21% 58% 19% 2% - -
22 BRATTAIN Trey 81% 18% 1% - -
23 GROTZKE Grant 4% 26% 42% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.