Nutmeg State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Saturday, July 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMITH Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 DOBBINS Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
3 HILMER Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 62% 4%
3 WERWA Griffith 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
5 GE Daniel 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
6 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 98% 75% 32% 5%
7 TJON Calum 100% 100% 95% 62% 13% -
8 LOZADA RODRIGUEZ Gabriel 100% 99% 83% 42% 8%
9 COPE Nathaniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
10 LEE Ethan 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
11 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 89% 42% 6% -
12 SCHURK Daniel 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
13 JEFF Ariff 100% 93% 63% 24% 3% -
14 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 99% 81% 39% 7%
15 KROLEWSKI Alex 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
16 CRUZ ZURITA Leonardo 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% -
17 GUERTIN Matthew 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% -
18 MAYER Richard 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
19 KISIEL Lucas 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
20 TESSMAN Henry 100% 37% 4% - - -
21 TRAUB Will 100% 79% 21% 2% - -
22 BRATTAIN Trey 100% 19% 1% - -
23 GROTZKE Grant 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.