Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HE Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 WU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 11%
3 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
5 ZHAO Yanning 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
6 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
7 FU Shannon 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
8 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
9 WANG Aria 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
10 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
11 PROCHASKA Reagan 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8% -
12 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
13 LEE Adelynn 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
14 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
15 LI Wan-Tao 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
16 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
17 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
18 WANG Nicole 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
19 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
20 DU Chloe 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
21 DU Chelsea 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
22 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
23 YU Chloe 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
24 LI Anna 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 4%
25 LI Allison 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
26 REN Ivanka 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
27 KOU Cynthia 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
28 LI Carlie 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
29 YU Jiaming 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
30 CHANG Allison 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
31 YOUSSEF Margaret 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
32 RAPTIS Layla 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1%
33 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
34 KUO Lydia 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
35 HE Elsa 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
36 CHO Anya 100% 30% 4% - - -
37 MUKKU Emily 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
38 LI Chelsea 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
38 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
40 PAK Ella 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
41 MIAO Anthea 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
42 YOON Claire 100% 98% 73% 33% 7% 1%
43 SUN Annika 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.