Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Cadet Men's Foil

Monday, September 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
2 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 28%
5 PONS Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
6 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
7 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
8 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
9 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
10 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
11 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
12 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 25%
13 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 10%
14 PARK Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
15 GORDON William L. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
16 OH Jaden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
17 WU Trevor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
18 EDISON Ansel 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
19 MA Bryant 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
19 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 18%
21 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
22 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
23 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
24 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20% 2%
25 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 6%
26 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
27 PARK Sky 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
28 SAH Steven 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1%
29 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
30 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 100% 91% 59% 20% 2%
31 LAM Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
32 REICHEL Ezra 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
33 PARK Rion 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 22%
34 WU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 12%
35 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
36 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
37 CHEN Matthew 100% 99% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
38 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
39 BAE Eugene 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
40 RUBIN Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25% 3%
41 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
42 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
42 LI Toby 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
44 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
44 ZHANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
46 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 32% 5%
47 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
48 KIM Jonah 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
49 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2%
50 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
51 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
52 CHUN Dashel 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
53 YANG Charles 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% -
54 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
54 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
56 DENG David 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
57 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 98% 79% 35% 6% - -
58 NGAI Julian 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
59 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
60 MORTON Joshua 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 1%
61 LI Jett 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
62 UPENDER West 100% 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% -
63 CHANG Jeremy 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
64 PARK David 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
65 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
66 FOY Grant 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
67 TSOI Spencer 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1% -
68 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
69 TULYAG Azim 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 4% -
70 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 99% 83% 43% 11% 1%
71 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 91% 58% 18% 2% -
71 ANWEILER Nathan 100% 99% 90% 56% 16% 2% -
73 XU Wangzitai 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
74 LING Carson Jr 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
75 MAK Osman K. 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
76 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
77 VAQUILAR Felix L. 100% 27% 3% - - -
78 PARK William 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
79 ZHAN Kevin 100% 97% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
80 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% - -
81 BORG Matthew 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
82 LIANG Ethan 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
83 BAKER Ethan 100% 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
84 PETROV Mikhail 100% 79% 28% 4% - - -
85 JIANG Yehong 100% 82% 35% 7% 1% -
86 LUI Justin 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
87 ROSE Jacob W. 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -
88 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
89 CHANG Nathan 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
90 DULAI Angad 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
91 COLLIGAN Apollo 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
92 ANDRADE Cedric 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
93 XU Jiajun 100% 88% 42% 9% 1% - -
94 REID Wesley 100% 56% 8% - - - -
95 NG Andrew 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% 1% -
96 HE Bourne 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
97 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
98 SHORTER David Alexander 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
99 ZHANG Jayden 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
100 WONG Braxton 100% 76% 29% 5% - - -
100 TURNER Finian 100% 61% 11% 1% - - -
100 WOO Noah 100% 79% 31% 5% - - -
103 LEE Christopher 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
104 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 89% 46% 12% 2% - -
105 BEIGEL Leia 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
106 ARCARA Evan 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
106 LEE Mason 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -
108 KUO Jayden 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
109 LI Brendan 100% 35% 3% - - - -
110 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.