Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, September 4, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joey - - - 1% 10% 60% 30%
2 MULCAHY Sebastian - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
3 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 18%
3 WANG Devin - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10% < 1%
5 RONG Gordon - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
6 XUE Michael - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
7 FU Nolan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
8 BERTEL Florian 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
9 CHAN JR Jason - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
10 LIU Xuyao 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% < 1% -
11 DU Evan - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
12 SU Samuel - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
13 GACIOCH Noah - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 11%
14 ENG Kyler - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
15 RONG Marcus 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
16 WU Nathan - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
17 OBERDERFER Viktor 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% < 1%
18 HARRIS Hayden 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
19 MOSLEY Wally 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
20 WONG Aaron - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
21 LIU Aiden - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% -
22 ADDLEMAN Joshua - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
23 MA Ciel 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
24 WHITE Ryden - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
25 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
26 TOUSSAINT Wizard - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
27 GREENMAN Duke 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
28 VOO Lucas 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
29 HUA Nolan - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% -
30 LEE Lucas 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
31 KIM Evan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
32 SRIKANTH Hariharan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
33 YU Brandon 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
34 WANG Lucas - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
35 CHEN Aiden 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 2%
36 DENG haoyu - - 1% 4% 19% 42% 34%
37 ZHANG Zhihan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
38 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
39 SHOURIE Seth 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
40 BALUCAN Caelus 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
41 LI Stephen - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
42 JAMES Kaden 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% -
43 SHOURIE Neel 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
44 BALUCAN Gabriel 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
45 WONG Alexander 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
46 SHIH Derek 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
47 GUO Luke 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
48 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
49 DING Max - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
50 NGUYEN Ethan 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
51 LIN Daniel 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
52 LIU Alrik SiWei 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
53 YU Haoyun 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
54 THOMPSON Luca 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
55 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
56 ABD ALLAH Hamza 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
57 FERRIERE Theo 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
58 LUO Alvin Y. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
58 ZHANG William 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
60 ZHU Jayden < 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
61 CHAN Calvin 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
62 CHU Clayton 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.