Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, September 4, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 30%
2 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
3 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
3 WANG Devin 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11% < 1%
5 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
7 FU Nolan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
8 BERTEL Florian 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
9 CHAN JR Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
10 LIU Xuyao 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% < 1% -
11 DU Evan 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
12 SU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
13 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
14 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
15 RONG Marcus 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
16 WU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 4%
17 OBERDERFER Viktor 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 5% < 1%
18 HARRIS Hayden 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
19 MOSLEY Wally 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
20 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
21 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% -
22 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
23 MA Ciel 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
24 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
25 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15% 1%
26 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
27 GREENMAN Duke 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
28 VOO Lucas 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
29 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% -
30 LEE Lucas 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
31 KIM Evan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
32 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
33 YU Brandon 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
34 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
35 CHEN Aiden 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
36 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
37 ZHANG Zhihan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
38 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
39 SHOURIE Seth 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
40 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
41 LI Stephen 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
42 JAMES Kaden 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
43 SHOURIE Neel 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
44 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
45 WONG Alexander 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
46 SHIH Derek 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
47 GUO Luke 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
48 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
49 DING Max 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
50 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
51 LIN Daniel 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
52 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
53 YU Haoyun 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
54 THOMPSON Luca 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
55 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
56 ABD ALLAH Hamza 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
57 FERRIERE Theo 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
58 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
58 ZHANG William 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
60 ZHU Jayden 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
61 CHAN Calvin 100% 96% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
62 CHU Clayton 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.