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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Hanson - - - - 4% 27% 68%
2 KO Caleb - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
3 TANG Royce - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
3 XIAN kevin - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
5 XU Nathan - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
6 WANG Luke - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
7 CZARNECKI Thomas - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
8 YAVENDITTI William - 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5%
9 LEE Thomas - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
10 CHEN kenneth - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
11 ZHANG Hanru 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
12 FREL Vincent - 1% 6% 23% 40% 25% 5%
13 HU Daniel 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
14 WANG ZEYU 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
15 HART-SYED declan - 2% 15% 43% 32% 7%
16 AHMAD Uzayr 1% 10% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
17 BAI Austin - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
18 ZHANG Gavin - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
19 HUANG Jinyao - - 2% 17% 46% 35%
20 ULYSSE Jacob - 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
21 HU Michael 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
22 CHANG Parker 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
23 WANG Ancen - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
24 QIAN Zekai - - 4% 26% 47% 22%
25 GRIGORIEV Michael - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
26 NOVIKOV Yann - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
27 LI Jayden 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
28 KEEGAN Cole - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 17%
29 SUN Nathan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
30 BRAIZINHA David 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
31 ZHANG Ethan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
32 TANG Michael 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
33 BEYDOUN Sam 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
34 ROTH Adam 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
35 WU Alexander 8% 34% 41% 15% 2% -
36 LEE Kyle 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
37 ZHENG Austin 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
38 MOON Nicolas 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
39 WANG Joshua - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
40 KINGSLEY Griffin - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
41 CHOI Hunter 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
42 PITERBARG Lev 42% 44% 13% 1% - -
43 LIU Brady 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% - -
44 WOODTHORPE Chris 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
45 LU Baisu 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
46 BU Ethan 2% 11% 25% 31% 22% 8% 1%
47 CHEUNG Jayden 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
48 SHI Luke 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
49 ROTH Gavin 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
50 ALIMI Mousa 16% 46% 32% 6% - -
51 ZHONG Albert 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
52 CONNELLY Malcolm 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% 1%
53 DAWSON Myer 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
54 ROSENTHAL Hugh 20% 41% 28% 9% 2% - -
54 DAVIDSON Henry 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.