Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
3 TANG Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
3 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
5 XU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 4%
6 WANG Luke 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
7 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
8 YAVENDITTI William 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
9 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
10 CHEN kenneth 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
11 ZHANG Hanru 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
12 FREL Vincent 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 5%
13 HU Daniel 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
14 WANG ZEYU 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7% -
15 HART-SYED declan 100% 100% 98% 83% 39% 7%
16 AHMAD Uzayr 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
17 BAI Austin 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 18% 2%
18 ZHANG Gavin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
19 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
20 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
21 HU Michael 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
22 CHANG Parker 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
23 WANG Ancen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
24 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 22%
25 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
26 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
27 LI Jayden 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
28 KEEGAN Cole 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
29 SUN Nathan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
30 BRAIZINHA David 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
31 ZHANG Ethan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
32 TANG Michael 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
33 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
34 ROTH Adam 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
35 WU Alexander 100% 92% 58% 17% 2% -
36 LEE Kyle 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
37 ZHENG Austin 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
38 MOON Nicolas 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
39 WANG Joshua 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
40 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
41 CHOI Hunter 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
42 PITERBARG Lev 100% 58% 15% 1% - -
43 LIU Brady 100% 76% 29% 6% 1% - -
44 WOODTHORPE Chris 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
45 LU Baisu 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
46 BU Ethan 100% 98% 87% 62% 31% 9% 1%
47 CHEUNG Jayden 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
48 SHI Luke 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
49 ROTH Gavin 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
50 ALIMI Mousa 100% 84% 38% 6% - -
51 ZHONG Albert 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
52 CONNELLY Malcolm 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
53 DAWSON Myer 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
54 ROSENTHAL Hugh 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
54 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.