Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
3 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
5 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
6 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
6 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
8 DAI Olivia 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
9 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
10 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
11 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 10% 1%
12 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
13 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
14 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 5%
15 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
16 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
17 TENG EMMA 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
18 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
19 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
20 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
20 GUGALA Hanna 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
22 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
23 XIAO julie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
24 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
25 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
26 NAYAK Esha 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
27 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
28 HU Anna 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1%
29 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
30 KANDADAI Lara 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
31 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
32 VINOKUR Anita 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% -
33 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
34 BERMAN Greta 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
35 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
36 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% - -
37 SHMULER Fiona 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
38 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
39 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 77% 27% 4% - -
40 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
41 NAYAK Antara 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
42 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
43 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
44 BROWN Aria 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
45 FLATT Sophia 100% 96% 68% 26% 4% -
46 BARNES Sarah 100% 40% 7% - - -
47 ONG Lauren 100% 51% 9% 1% - -
48 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 98% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
49 LI Alexis 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
50 WU Yuwei 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
51 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
52 CROOKS Riley 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
53 BARRY Mya 100% 54% 10% 1% - - -
54 WAY Samantha 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
55 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
55 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 94% 47% 12% 1% - -
57 HARRISON Allie 100% 26% 3% - - - -
58 NEUMAN Ella 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
59 GETZONI Mary 100% 20% 1% - - - -
60 INSINGA Ava 100% 73% 23% 3% - - -
60 MURPHY Jessica 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.