James Madison University Open

Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 4:00 PM

JMU University Rec Center - Harrisonburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 10%
2 PATRICK Timothy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
3 LE TAN 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
3 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
5 STAM August M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
6 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 100% 89% 49% 15% 2% -
7 PAGAN Andrew 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
8 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
9 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
10 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
11 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
12 JACKSON Evan 100% 80% 27% 4% - -
13 FEIRA Justin 100% 99% 85% 45% 9% 1%
14 LAUDO Joseph 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
15 SULLIVAN Anna 100% 98% 59% 19% 3% - -
16 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 10%
17 GOSALIA Nidhi 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
18 NI Hao 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10% -
19 OHASHI Jax 100% 98% 81% 35% 7% 1% -
20 OLMEN Kelsey 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
21 MAY Matthew 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
22 COURTER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
23 MEARS Caleb 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
24 PETERS Ella 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
25 TUSING Isabel 100% 94% 35% 6% - - -
26 ZHANG Yulang 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
27 BARR Corinne 100% 33% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.