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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

James Madison University Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 4:00 PM

JMU University Rec Center - Harrisonburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMP Brannon A. - - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
2 RAUSCHER Ryan - - 1% 11% 42% 45%
3 CASSIDY Connor J. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
3 JACKSON Evan 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
5 ROSE Colin - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
6 STAM August M. - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
7 FEIRA Justin - - 4% 31% 48% 16%
8 MITCHELL Matthew - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
9 PHAM Matthew 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
10 MAY Matthew 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
11 LAUDO Joseph - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
12 KASBERG Matt 6% 31% 38% 20% 5% -
13 SMITH ` Tyler M. 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
14 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
15 BLANKENSHIP Benjamin T. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
16 ADKINS Matthew - 3% 22% 44% 25% 5% -
17 URIBE David 1% 13% 45% 37% 5% -
18 SCHICKEL Juliana 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
19 NI Hao 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
20 TUSING Isabel 13% 57% 25% 4% - -
21 POWERS Gabriel 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
22 BARR Corinne 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
23 EVERHARDT William 4% 22% 41% 26% 6% -
24 OHASHI Jax 27% 45% 23% 4% - - -
25 SAMMONS Emily 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.