James Madison University Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 4:00 PM

JMU University Rec Center - Harrisonburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
2 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
3 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
3 JACKSON Evan 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2%
5 ROSE Colin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
6 STAM August M. 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
7 FEIRA Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 16%
8 MITCHELL Matthew 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
9 PHAM Matthew 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
10 MAY Matthew 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
11 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
12 KASBERG Matt 100% 94% 62% 25% 5% -
13 SMITH ` Tyler M. 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
14 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
15 BLANKENSHIP Benjamin T. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
16 ADKINS Matthew 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 5% -
17 URIBE David 100% 99% 86% 42% 5% -
18 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
19 NI Hao 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
20 TUSING Isabel 100% 87% 29% 4% - -
21 POWERS Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
22 BARR Corinne 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
23 EVERHARDT William 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% -
24 OHASHI Jax 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
25 SAMMONS Emily 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.