AAFA: Harry Rulnick Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 1:00 PM

All-American Fencing Academy - Fayetteville, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
2 HARWOOD Gray 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
3 PRUT Anton 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
3 TAMIR Esu 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
5 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
6 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
7 KAPLAN Abe 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
8 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
9 CULLITON Colton 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4% -
10 IFORD Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
11 CANADY Isaac 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
12 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
13 ODEA Ryan 100% 97% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
14 LEAKE Arlo 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
15 GREENE Max 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
16 KUBE Lily 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
17 MORKOS Elinor 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
18 BARROW Jonathon 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
19 CHAPMAN Avery 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 4% -
20 SIERS David M. 100% 93% 58% 20% 4% - -
21 PETERS Ezra 100% 75% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.