AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, October 6, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard - - - - 1% 16% 83%
2 KANG Jeremy - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 KANG Matthew - - - - 4% 26% 70%
3 KOZLOFF Wyatt - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
5 WONG Hawken - - 2% 12% 37% 39% 10%
6 WANG Edward 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
7 HWANG Hagan - - 1% 7% 40% 53%
8 SANCHEZ Jacob - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
9 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
10 YANG Phillip - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
11 ZHANG KAIQI - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8%
12 ZHAO Aidan - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 2%
13 TANI Tino - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
14 XU Yixiao - 1% 7% 30% 46% 16%
15 GU Andrew - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
16 LUC Cedric 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
17 YUEN Caleb - 4% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
18 KROON Landon - 1% 7% 24% 40% 26% 2%
19 ARISTOV Ilya - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
20 GRIGORIEV Roman - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
21 HAO Johnny - - 4% 23% 52% 21%
22 HO Alden - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12% -
23 PARK Emerson 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
24 LI Ryan 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
25 IM Tyler 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
26 HRISTOV Nickolas - 3% 16% 38% 35% 8%
27 NGUYEN Ethan 4% 27% 42% 23% 4% -
28 LEE Brendan 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
29 WANG Yongen - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
30 HE Zhikai (kyle) 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
31 WU Dawei 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3% -
32 LEE Nathan Uju 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
33 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram - - 4% 20% 42% 29% 5%
34 SRIVATSAV Anay 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
35 VO Blake 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2%
36 LUC Linkin 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
37 ROH Jaden 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
38 LIANG Preston - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
39 CHEN Brian 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
40 FU BRANDEN - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
41 WANG David 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
42 EKAMBARAM Rithik 1% 14% 38% 37% 9% 1%
43 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
44 KIM Eric 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
45 LIU Ryan 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
46 CHEN Aaron 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
47 FUGATE Logan 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
48 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
49 LEE Bill King 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
50 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
51 GU Dean 5% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
52 SLOAN Ethan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
53 VAN ROY Ray 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
54 YUE Ivan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
55 CHAN Troy 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
56 DESAI Arthav 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
57 NGUYEN Drake 9% 36% 39% 15% 2% -
58 RAMBHIA Smit 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
59 WANG Xuren 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
60 HAN Kyle 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
61 XIA Daniel 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
62 WANG James 50% 39% 9% 1% - -
63 HWANG Zachary 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
64 THOMAS Liam 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
65 XU Ethan 12% 41% 34% 11% 2% -
66 JI Derek 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
67 BRADIC Andreja 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% - -
68 YU Albert 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
69 MALLARD Arthur 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
70 DU Owen 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
70 LI Sky 1% 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% -
72 CHEN Dylan 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.