AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, October 6, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
3 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
5 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49% 10%
6 WANG Edward 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
7 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
8 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
9 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
10 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
11 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
12 ZHAO Aidan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
13 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
14 XU Yixiao 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16%
15 GU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
16 LUC Cedric 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
17 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
18 KROON Landon 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 2%
19 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
20 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
21 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 21%
22 HO Alden 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% -
23 PARK Emerson 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
24 LI Ryan 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
25 IM Tyler 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
26 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
27 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 96% 69% 27% 4% -
28 LEE Brendan 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
29 WANG Yongen 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
30 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
31 WU Dawei 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
32 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
33 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
34 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
35 VO Blake 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
36 LUC Linkin 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
37 ROH Jaden 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
38 LIANG Preston 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
39 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 10% 1%
40 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
41 WANG David 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
42 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 99% 85% 47% 10% 1%
43 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
44 KIM Eric 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
45 LIU Ryan 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
46 CHEN Aaron 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
47 FUGATE Logan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
48 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
49 LEE Bill King 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
50 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% 1%
51 GU Dean 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
52 SLOAN Ethan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
53 VAN ROY Ray 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
54 YUE Ivan 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
55 CHAN Troy 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
56 DESAI Arthav 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
57 NGUYEN Drake 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% -
58 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
59 WANG Xuren 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
60 HAN Kyle 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
61 XIA Daniel 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
62 WANG James 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
63 HWANG Zachary 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
64 THOMAS Liam 100% 73% 30% 6% - - -
65 XU Ethan 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
66 JI Derek 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
67 BRADIC Andreja 100% 85% 46% 13% 1% - -
68 YU Albert 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
69 MALLARD Arthur 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
70 DU Owen 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
70 LI Sky 100% 99% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
72 CHEN Dylan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.