The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
2 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
3 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 20%
5 LI Jade 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
6 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
7 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
8 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
9 XI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
10 SONG Changze 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
11 GAO Victor 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
12 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
13 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
13 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
15 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
16 ZHAO Pierce 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
17 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
18 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
19 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
20 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
21 NILSEN Mark 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
22 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
23 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
24 GLUSHKOV David 100% 97% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
25 LI Ray 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
26 ALABI Tobi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
27 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
28 STARKIE Kitteridge 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
29 TESFAYE Elias 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
30 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
31 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
32 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 2% -
33 OCONNOR Paul 100% 98% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
34 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
35 CHEN Edward 100% 37% 6% - - -
36 DYCKMAN Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
37 WHITE Jackson 100% 96% 75% 36% 7% 1% -
38 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
39 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
40 SHI Evan 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
41 HANNA Alexander 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
42 WANG Marcus 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
43 OMAR Abdullah 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
44 FOGEL Jake 100% 65% 24% 4% - - -
45 BRESLAV Asher 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% -
46 LEE Nicholas 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
47 LAW Oliver 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
48 YU George 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.