The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Hanson - - - - 3% 24% 73%
2 KO Caleb - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
3 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 1% 13% 86%
3 GRIGORIEV Michael - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
5 ZHAI Derrick - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
6 WANG Mendy - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
7 CZARNECKI Thomas - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
8 REN Ryan - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
9 XU Nathan - 1% 8% 30% 45% 17%
10 ULYSSE Jacob - 1% 6% 22% 41% 29% 2%
11 CHEN kenneth - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 1%
12 XIAN kevin - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
13 MO Ethan - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
14 LEE Thomas - 3% 21% 40% 29% 7%
15 ZHANG Gavin - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
16 NOVIKOV Yann - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
17 CHENG Logan - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
18 WANG Luke - 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
19 OH Joshua 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% -
20 HU Daniel 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
21 SIU Max 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
22 HART-SYED declan 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 3%
23 WANG Ancen - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10%
24 YAVENDITTI William - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
25 LU Hansen - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
26 CHANG Parker - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
27 QIAN Zekai - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
28 VENAFRO Tristan - 3% 22% 40% 28% 7%
29 KOVACS Harrison - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
30 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
31 BRAIZINHA David 5% 32% 41% 19% 3% -
32 KIM Daniel 8% 32% 40% 18% 3% -
33 ROTH Gavin 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
34 KIAYIAS Anthony - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
35 BAS Jonathan 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
36 LI Jayden 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
37 KINGSLEY Griffin - 3% 19% 39% 31% 7%
38 ZHANG Ethan 8% 33% 38% 18% 3% -
39 FREL Vincent 1% 7% 29% 39% 20% 3%
40 KIAYIAS Alexander - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12% -
41 HU Michael 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
42 ZHENG Austin 4% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
43 PAN Jason 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
44 LEE Kyle 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
45 LIU Brady 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
46 HAN Jiaren 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
47 MANCHALA Vedanth - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
48 WU Alexander 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
49 YOUM Tyson 51% 38% 9% 1% - -
50 LEE Aeden 8% 35% 37% 17% 3% -
51 MOON Nicolas 21% 53% 22% 4% - -
52 DAVIDSON Henry 61% 32% 6% - - -
53 TIAN Dylan 29% 44% 22% 4% - -
54 ZHONG Albert 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
54 YUNG Zak 14% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
56 WANG Joshua 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
57 LIU Gene 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
58 ROTH Adam 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
59 ZHAO David 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
60 LU Baisu 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% -
61 ALIMI Mousa 56% 38% 6% - - -
62 TIAN Andy 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
63 HUANG Marcus 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
64 ROSENTHAL Hugh 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.