The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
2 KO Caleb 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
5 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
6 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
7 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11%
8 REN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
9 XU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 17%
10 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30% 2%
11 CHEN kenneth 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13% 1%
12 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
13 MO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
14 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
15 ZHANG Gavin 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
16 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
17 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
18 WANG Luke 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
19 OH Joshua 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
20 HU Daniel 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
21 SIU Max 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
22 HART-SYED declan 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
23 WANG Ancen 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
24 YAVENDITTI William 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
25 LU Hansen 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 21% 3%
26 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
27 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
28 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 97% 75% 35% 7%
29 KOVACS Harrison 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
30 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1%
31 BRAIZINHA David 100% 95% 64% 22% 4% -
32 KIM Daniel 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
33 ROTH Gavin 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
34 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
35 BAS Jonathan 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
36 LI Jayden 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
37 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 7%
38 ZHANG Ethan 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% -
39 FREL Vincent 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
40 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12% -
41 HU Michael 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
42 ZHENG Austin 100% 96% 70% 28% 6% -
43 PAN Jason 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5% -
44 LEE Kyle 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
45 LIU Brady 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
46 HAN Jiaren 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
47 MANCHALA Vedanth 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
48 WU Alexander 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
49 YOUM Tyson 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
50 LEE Aeden 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% -
51 MOON Nicolas 100% 79% 27% 4% - -
52 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 39% 7% - - -
53 TIAN Dylan 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
54 ZHONG Albert 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
54 YUNG Zak 100% 86% 47% 13% 1% -
56 WANG Joshua 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 5% -
57 LIU Gene 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
58 ROTH Adam 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
59 ZHAO David 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
60 LU Baisu 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% -
61 ALIMI Mousa 100% 44% 6% - - -
62 TIAN Andy 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
63 HUANG Marcus 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
64 ROSENTHAL Hugh 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.