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The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Chelsea Piers - Stamford, CT - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
3 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
5 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
6 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
7 HAN Keyi 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 3%
8 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
9 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
10 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
11 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 3%
12 BEYER Timothy 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 2%
13 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
14 GIORDANO Zach 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
15 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
16 FOGEL Jake 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
17 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
18 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
19 BRESLAV Asher 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
20 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
21 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
22 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
23 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
24 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
25 YU David 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
26 YOON Jonathan 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% -
27 CHO Adrian 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
28 KATS Brandon 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
29 TANG Milo 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
30 SMITH Theo 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10% 1%
31 MCGANN Grant 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
32 SHI Evan 100% 90% 46% 11% 1% -
33 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
34 WANG Marcus 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
35 ROFINO Samuel 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
36 MCGINLEY Felix 100% 99% 86% 55% 19% 2%
37 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
38 JIN Derek 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
39 PARKER Wilson 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
40 YU George 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
41 GENG Michael 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
42 MUELLER Travis 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
43 LEE Ryan 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
44 SANTANA Sebastian 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
45 LANDMAN Martin 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.