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Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, October 13, 2023 at 5:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
5 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 4%
6 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
8 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
9 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
10 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
11 ZHAO Aidan 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
12 VO Blake 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
13 MOORE Greyson 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
14 YUE Ivan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
15 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
16 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
17 DECHEV Vlad 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% -
18 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
19 WANG David 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28% 4%
20 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
21 VAN ROY Ray 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
22 NGUYEN Drake 100% 94% 64% 23% 4% - -
23 WU Dawei 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
24 BELHE Hridhaan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
25 YU Albert 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
26 WANG James 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
27 KIM Eric 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
28 BRADIC Andreja 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
28 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% -
30 XIA Daniel 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
31 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
32 THOMAS Liam 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
33 XU Ethan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
34 LIN Ethan 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
34 SCHILLA Max 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
36 HULL Brandtley 100% 100% 98% 74% 32% 7% 1%
37 DU Owen 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
38 YU Joshua 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7% 1%
39 HANLEY Ian 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
40 LI Sky 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
41 CHEN Dylan 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
41 HWANG Zachary 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.