Event Results
D & Under Epee/FoilSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | FERRELL-CARRETEY Elliot | V V D V V | V V V V | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 2 | ERKENBECK Nathan M. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | ZHOU Austin | V V V V V | V V D | 1.8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| 3 | MUENKE Magnus | V V D D D | V V V D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| 5 | REED Joshua K. | V D V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 6 | FREEMAN Katherine | D D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 7 | BINCZYK Adam | D D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 8 | EMERSON Zachary | V D D V V | V V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 9 | WHEELER Luke C. | V V V D V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 10 | WANG Emma | D V V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 11 | MILANOV Vihren | V D V | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 12 | AGGELER Donovan | V V V D D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 13 | SHADE Nadine | D V V D D | V D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 14 | WARD Zachary | D V D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 15 | RAYNER Jack | D D D V D | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 16 | HOLLOWAY IMRIE Colin | D D D D D | V D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 17 | SMITH Darius | D V V V D | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 18 | GEISLER Grahm | V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 19 | BROOKS Justin | V D D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 20 | STOY Sophia | D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 21 | HARTMEYER Carl | D V D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 22 | SIMOES Shonali | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |