D & Under Epee/Foil

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 6:00 PM

South Denver Fencing Academy - Centennial, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FERRELL-CARRETEY Elliot - 1% 14% 40% 36% 9%
2 ERKENBECK Nathan M. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
3 ZHOU Austin 5% 33% 42% 17% 3% < 1%
3 MUENKE Magnus - - 3% 21% 47% 30%
5 REED Joshua K. - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
6 FREEMAN Katherine - 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
7 BINCZYK Adam - 2% 17% 39% 33% 9%
8 EMERSON Zachary 5% 36% 46% 12% 1% -
9 WHEELER Luke C. - - 3% 23% 47% 26%
10 WANG Emma 17% 41% 33% 9%
11 MILANOV Vihren 19% 45% 31% 5%
12 AGGELER Donovan 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
13 SHADE Nadine 24% 65% 11% 1% - -
14 WARD Zachary 3% 22% 46% 29%
15 RAYNER Jack 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
16 HOLLOWAY IMRIE Colin 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
17 SMITH Darius 7% 36% 41% 15% 2% -
18 GEISLER Grahm 14% 40% 36% 10%
19 BROOKS Justin - 3% 28% 42% 23% 4%
20 STOY Sophia 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
21 HARTMEYER Carl 2% 14% 38% 35% 10% 1%
22 SIMOES Shonali 54% 37% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.