Crescent City Open RJCC/ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Riverside Hilton - New Orleans, LA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TIEMANN Landen 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1%
2 MCMAHAN Christopher D. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% < 1%
3 HESS Marc F. 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
3 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% -
5 RAY William 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
6 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
7 O'CONNOR Ryan (Ryan O'Connor) D. 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
8 POOLE James M. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
9 EMMERT JP 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
10 PARISI Nolan W. 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
11 LAING Flynt 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
12 MAI Ryan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
13 ALLEY Everett T 100% 99% 90% 52% 12%
14 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
15 DERHAM Drew 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
16 VILLAREAL Quentin 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
17 GEIGER Devin T. 100% 100% 97% 70% 19%
18 BLOM Mark D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
19 SCHWARY Irv 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
20 POHL Philip 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
21 ESHONKULOV Aziz 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% -
22 MAI Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
23 GASTON Ryan 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
24 YAWN Joshua 100% 42% 9% 1% - -
25 SOTTILE Cole 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 1%
26 WAID Ian 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
27 SMALL slater 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
28 CHEN Leetyan 100% 83% 33% 5% -
29 HAWLEY Justin 100% 43% 6% - -
30 PHILLIPS Wesley Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
31 MCINTURFF Walker 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
32 DAVIS Richard M. 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1%
33 MAI Hung 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
34 GUIDRY Rod 100% 29% 3% - - -
35 STARR Michael 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.