SoCal Scholastic League Individual Epee/Saber #1

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Brentwood High School - Brentwood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KIM Sullivan - - 2% 17% 47% 33%
2 WARD Edward - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
3 NAZARIAN Jonah 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
3 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
5 CROSSMAN Brandon - 1% 6% 27% 47% 19%
5 SCHROEDER Dylan - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
7 JU Hanul - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
8 SHIN Ryan - 1% 8% 33% 48% 10%
9 NOURAFCHAN Jonah 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
10 PAINTER Noah 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
11 CHARETTE Alex 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
12 FRIEDMAN Lucas 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
13 XU Wangzitai 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
14 BELLASARIAN Benjamin 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 2%
15 CLARKE Luca - 3% 19% 41% 29% 6%
16 KIM Tristan 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% -
17 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison - - - 4% 26% 70%
18 BANGAYAN Anthony - 4% 21% 42% 29% 3%
19 STAFFORD Michael - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
20 DAO Thomas - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
21 SUH Victor 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
22 BISSADA Matthew 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
23 BAILIN Tyler 8% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
24 O'GARA Theodore - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
25 SCHERZAY Ian 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
26 IYER Pranav - 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
26 CHARETTE Matthew 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
28 REECE Chapin 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
29 BOTYANSZKI Balint 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 2%
30 WELLS William 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
31 PROCTER Griffin 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
32 WILSON Theodore 4% 31% 42% 19% 3% -
33 HUNTINGTON Charles 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
34 STAFFORD Bryan 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 2%
35 CHEN David - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
36 THORNTON Maximilian 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
37 YANAI Charlie 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
38 GAINSLEY Isaac 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
39 JONES Rodney 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
40 PALMARES Xavier 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
41 BECK Eli - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
42 CORZO-SANDINO Lorenzo - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
43 ORMOND Andrew 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
44 DAI Markenever 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
45 FRIEDMAN Jonas 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3%
46 ZAPATA Matthew 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
47 PAEK Marcus 11% 36% 35% 14% 3% -
48 ERNST Frederick - 8% 30% 38% 19% 3%
49 GARCIA Miguel 2% 26% 41% 24% 6% -
50 LARI Matthew 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
50 SEMIDEY Tomaso 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
50 SANDOVAL-CUDE Maxwell 33% 44% 20% 4% - -
53 BYRNE Quinlan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
53 GUILLERMO Dante - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
55 SAUTER Luke 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
56 KAMRAS Ryan 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
57 DAI MIKENEVER 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
58 RAILLARD Ocean 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
59 PALAPA Yair 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 1%
60 WELD Theo 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
61 BAKER Livingston Xander 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
62 YOUNG Trevor 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
63 DILORENZO Peter 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1%
63 HERRERA Kevin 3% 22% 39% 28% 7% -
65 DONOHUE Angus 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% -
66 CALDWELL Sean 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.