SoCal Scholastic League Individual Epee/Saber #1

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Brentwood High School - Brentwood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
2 WARD Edward 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 20%
3 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
3 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
5 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 19%
5 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
7 JU Hanul 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
8 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 10%
9 NOURAFCHAN Jonah 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
10 PAINTER Noah 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
11 CHARETTE Alex 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%
12 FRIEDMAN Lucas 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
13 XU Wangzitai 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
14 BELLASARIAN Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
15 CLARKE Luca 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
16 KIM Tristan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
17 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
18 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
19 STAFFORD Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
20 DAO Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
21 SUH Victor 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
22 BISSADA Matthew 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
23 BAILIN Tyler 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
24 O'GARA Theodore 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
25 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
26 IYER Pranav 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 8%
26 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
28 REECE Chapin 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
29 BOTYANSZKI Balint 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
30 WELLS William 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
31 PROCTER Griffin 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
32 WILSON Theodore 100% 96% 65% 23% 4% -
33 HUNTINGTON Charles 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
34 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 2%
35 CHEN David 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
36 THORNTON Maximilian 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
37 YANAI Charlie 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
38 GAINSLEY Isaac 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
39 JONES Rodney 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
40 PALMARES Xavier 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
41 BECK Eli 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
42 CORZO-SANDINO Lorenzo 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
43 ORMOND Andrew 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
44 DAI Markenever 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
45 FRIEDMAN Jonas 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
46 ZAPATA Matthew 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
47 PAEK Marcus 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% -
48 ERNST Frederick 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 3%
49 GARCIA Miguel 100% 98% 71% 30% 6% -
50 LARI Matthew 100% 92% 65% 28% 5% -
50 SEMIDEY Tomaso 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
50 SANDOVAL-CUDE Maxwell 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
53 BYRNE Quinlan 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
53 GUILLERMO Dante 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
55 SAUTER Luke 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
56 KAMRAS Ryan 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
57 DAI MIKENEVER 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
58 RAILLARD Ocean 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
59 PALAPA Yair 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 1%
60 WELD Theo 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
61 BAKER Livingston Xander 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
62 YOUNG Trevor 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
63 DILORENZO Peter 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
63 HERRERA Kevin 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% -
65 DONOHUE Angus 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% -
66 CALDWELL Sean 100% 93% 64% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.