MFA Friday Night Epee (Senior Open)

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, October 27, 2023 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
2 YUEN Nathan 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
3 JARIN-LIPSCHITZ Laura 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
3 TONG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
5 ONGSITCO Mark L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 8%
6 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
7 SODHI Jaco 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
8 NG Biwon 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
9 PERALTA Christian 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 1%
10 GENCHEV Madav 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
11 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
12 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
13 NGUYEN Steven 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
14 MANA Arnav 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
15 SIU Darren 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 7%
16 SALOM BLASCO Miquel 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
17 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69%
18 CLAES Thomas 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
19 CHIEM Karen 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
20 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
21 GUO Woody 100% 97% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
22 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
23 LIN Isabel 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
24 ZGRAGGEN dale 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
25 KUO Michael 100% 99% 94% 74% 43% 15% 2%
26 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 85% 38% 8% 1% - -
27 JACKSON Susana 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
28 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -
29 KATTAN Michel 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
30 SHAN Ruoheng 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
31 ZHANG Rose 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
32 LIN Jason 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
33 PERALTA Christian 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
34 KATTAN Samuel 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.