Bobcat Open

Men's Épée

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Student Recreation Center @ Texas State University - San Marcos, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KRAMER Jack P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
2 POPOVICI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 LUEBBE Jost 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
3 MCALISTER Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
5 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 97% 69% 21%
6 ABBONDANZIO David R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
7 WOODALL Ian L. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
8 OBREBSKI Kevin 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
9 SALEH Omar 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
10 SCEROLER Anslee 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
11 EMMERT Jp 100% 100% 97% 74% 20%
12 GOODMAN Benjamin 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
13 SAIKOLAPPAN Narensankar 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
14 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
15 RAO Neil 100% 88% 51% 14% 1%
16 TAYLOR Liam F. 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
17 NGUYEN Bao 100% 100% 96% 66% 2%
18 MANGAN Hunter 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% -
19 SMITH Samuel J. 100% 96% 70% 25% 3%
20 PATEL Avi 100% 96% 71% 28% 3%
21 BIGGS Jacob 100% 91% 45% 6%
22 BARTON Christian 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
23 FRANZESE Nicholas P. 100% 99% 88% 43%
24 KOSTUSIAK Evan 100% 93% 62% 21% 2%
25 HAWLEY Justin 100% 80% 32% 3% -
26 COLARES BADKE TOCCHETTO Lucca 100% 92% 61% 22% 2%
27 WILLIAMS Nasir 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 3%
28 NG Dylan 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
30 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 83% 41% 9% -
31 GRIMSHAW Tim 100% 79% 36% 7% -
33 REHUREK Luke 100% 55% 14% 2% -
34 HURT Stone 100% 75% 31% 5% -
35 LE Nathan 100% 87% 45% 8% -
36 JAMAIL Luke 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
37 THOMA Jackson 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
38 HWANG Joseph 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
39 NEWSOM Finn 100% 66% 18% - -
40 TIEMANN Aidan 100% 99% 85% 47% 11%
41 TULLY Gage 100% 35% 5% -
42 JAMES thomas 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
43 TAPSCOTT Nicolas 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.