Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PANE Patrick 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
2 ANDERSON Derek M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
3 WALLACE George 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
3 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
5 PHILLIPS Ethan D. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10%
6 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
7 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
8 SUN Ethan 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
9 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 100% 86% 51% 17% 2%
10 SINGH Jawand 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
11 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
12 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
13 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
14 COVITZ Ashley A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5%
15 LEE Benjamin 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% -
16 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
17 BADLANI Neel 100% 91% 57% 18% 2%
18 DOYLE Jacob 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
19 KARASICK Andrew 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
20 ANDERSON Dean 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 9%
21 SONVICO Jeremy 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
22 TANG Justin 100% 95% 68% 28% 4%
23 LUNDEN Espen 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
24 MOORE Mary 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
25 KRONAUGE Andersen 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
26 WANG Kobe 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
27 BJERKNESS Riley 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% -
28 ROUADY Ryan 100% 98% 81% 39% 9% 1%
29 MCDOWELL Finn 100% 61% 18% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.